Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Africa Cup of Nations - Women / Morocco W vs Algeria Femminile

Morocco W vs Algeria Femminile Statistics & Analysis

Morocco W Morocco W
Aug 15, 2026 - 17:00
1(2) 1.38
1(3) 1.22
xG Accuracy: 85%
Algeria Femminile Algeria Femminile
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Morocco W Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 14, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3896920

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Morocco W 1–1 Algeria Femminile
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Africa Cup of Nations - Women
  • Fixture: Morocco W vs Algeria Femminile
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-15 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Morocco W 1.38 — Algeria Femminile 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Africa Cup of Nations - Women Africa Cup of Nations - Women — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 7
2 Algeria Femminile 3 2 0 1 6
3 Senegal Femminile 3 1 1 1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Morocco W 3 5 0 +5 7
2 Algeria Femminile 3 4 1 +3 6
3 Senegal Femminile 3 1 2 -1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 7 -7 0