Statistiche / Calcio / Bahrein. Premier League Bahrain / Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Muharraq

Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Muharraq Statistics & Analysis

Al Ittifaq Maqaba Al Ittifaq Maqaba
Sep 04, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.09
0 1.51
xG Accuracy: 64%
Muharraq Muharraq
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Muharraq Al Ittifaq Maqaba ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5913891

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Al Ittifaq Maqaba win · Al Ittifaq Maqaba 1–0 Muharraq
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League Bahrain
  • Fixture: Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Muharraq
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 25.8% · Draw 28.9% · Away 45.3%
  • xG (showing): Al Ittifaq Maqaba 1.09 — Muharraq 1.51 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Bahrain Premier League Bahrain — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Khalidiya 3 2 1 0 7
2 Al Riffa 3 2 1 0 7
3 Al Ittifaq Maqaba 3 2 0 1 6
4 Sitra 3 1 2 0 5
5 Al Ahli Bahrain 3 1 1 1 4
6 Al-Hidd 3 1 1 1 4
7 Muharraq 3 1 1 1 4
8 A'Ali 3 1 1 1 4
9 East Riffa 3 1 1 1 4
10 Al Najma 3 1 0 2 3
11 Manama 3 0 1 2 1
12 Malkiya 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Khalidiya 3 10 3 +7 7
2 Al Riffa 3 7 1 +6 7
3 Al Najma 3 5 10 -5 3
4 Muharraq 3 4 3 +1 4
5 Sitra 3 3 0 +3 5
6 Al Ittifaq Maqaba 3 3 2 +1 6
7 A'Ali 3 3 4 -1 4
8 East Riffa 3 3 4 -1 4
9 Manama 3 3 9 -6 1
10 Al-Hidd 3 2 1 +1 4
11 Al Ahli Bahrain 3 2 3 -1 4
12 Malkiya 3 0 5 -5 0