Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. U18 Premier League - Nord / Nottingham Forest U18 vs Middlesbrough Under 18

Nottingham Forest U18 vs Middlesbrough Under 18 Statistics & Analysis

Sep 12, 2026 - 11:00
0 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Nottingham Forest U18 Middlesbrough Under 18 ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7423699

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Middlesbrough Under 18 win · Nottingham Forest U18 0–1 Middlesbrough Under 18
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: U18 Premier League - Nord
  • Fixture: Nottingham Forest U18 vs Middlesbrough Under 18
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Nottingham Forest U18 1.37 — Middlesbrough Under 18 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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U18 Premier League - Nord U18 Premier League - Nord — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 18
2 Newcastle United Under 18 6 5 0 1 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 12
4 Nottingham Forest U18 5 3 1 1 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 8
6 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 8
7 Middlesbrough Under 18 6 2 2 2 8
8 Derby County U18 6 2 1 3 7
9 Everton U18 5 2 0 3 6
10 Leeds United U18 5 2 0 3 6
11 Blackburn Rovers U18 5 2 0 3 6
12 Stoke City Under 18 6 1 1 4 4
13 Leicester City U18 4 0 2 2 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 1
15 Wolverhampton Wanderers Under 18 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Manchester City U18 6 26 8 +18 18
2 Newcastle United Under 18 6 19 7 +12 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 16 1 +15 12
4 Nottingham Forest U18 5 15 4 +11 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 14 11 +3 8
6 Burnley U18 6 13 11 +2 8
7 Middlesbrough Under 18 6 11 12 -1 8
8 Everton U18 5 11 12 -1 6
9 Stoke City Under 18 6 11 18 -7 4
10 Derby County U18 6 10 13 -3 7
11 Leeds United U18 5 8 16 -8 6
12 Leicester City U18 4 6 11 -5 2
13 Blackburn Rovers U18 5 5 20 -15 6
14 Sunderland U18 3 3 9 -6 1
15 Wolverhampton Wanderers Under 18 5 3 18 -15 0