Reading Under 18 vs Brighton U18 Statistics & Analysis

Reading Under 18

Sep 05, 2026 - 10:30

1 1.17

1 1.43

xG Accuracy: 85%

Brighton U18

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Brighton U18 Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 01:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6126706

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Reading Under 18 1–1 Brighton U18

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: U18 Premier League - Sud
Fixture: Reading Under 18 vs Brighton U18
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 10:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
xG (showing): Reading Under 18 1.17 — Brighton U18 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

U18 Premier League - Sud — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Tottenham Hotspur Under 18	6	5	1	0	16
2	Chelsea Under 18	6	4	0	2	12
3	Southampton Under 18	6	4	0	2	12
4	Fulham U18	6	3	3	0	12
5	Arsenal U18	6	3	1	2	10
6	West Ham United Under 18	6	3	1	2	10
7	Brighton U18	6	3	1	2	10
8	Brentford U18	6	3	0	3	9
9	Ipswich Town U18	6	3	0	3	9
10	Aston Villa U18	6	2	2	2	8
11	West Bromwich Albion Under 18	6	2	1	3	7
12	Norwich City Under 18	6	2	0	4	6
13	AFC Bournemouth U18	6	1	2	3	5
14	Crystal Palace U18	6	1	1	4	4
15	Reading Under 18	6	1	1	4	4
16	Birmingham City U18	6	1	0	5	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Tottenham Hotspur Under 18	6	33	9	+24	16
2	Chelsea Under 18	6	25	10	+15	12
3	Fulham U18	6	23	15	+8	12
4	Southampton Under 18	6	21	12	+9	12
5	West Ham United Under 18	6	16	15	+1	10
6	Aston Villa U18	6	15	13	+2	8
7	Brentford U18	6	15	15	0	9
8	Ipswich Town U18	6	15	15	0	9
9	Brighton U18	6	15	17	-2	10
10	AFC Bournemouth U18	6	14	22	-8	5
11	Norwich City Under 18	6	13	22	-9	6
12	Arsenal U18	6	10	6	+4	10
13	Crystal Palace U18	6	9	15	-6	4
14	Reading Under 18	6	9	22	-13	4
15	Birmingham City U18	6	6	22	-16	3
16	West Bromwich Albion Under 18	6	5	14	-9	7