Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. U18 Premier League - Sud / AFC Bournemouth U18 vs Brighton U18

AFC Bournemouth U18 vs Brighton U18 Statistics & Analysis

Aug 22, 2026 - 10:00
7 1.24
4 1.36
xG Accuracy: 10%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (11 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Brighton U18 AFC Bournemouth U18 ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 7-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4213971

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result AFC Bournemouth U18 win · AFC Bournemouth U18 7–4 Brighton U18
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: U18 Premier League - Sud
  • Fixture: AFC Bournemouth U18 vs Brighton U18
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): AFC Bournemouth U18 1.24 — Brighton U18 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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U18 Premier League - Sud U18 Premier League - Sud — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Tottenham Hotspur Under 18 6 5 1 0 16
2 Chelsea Under 18 6 4 0 2 12
3 Southampton Under 18 6 4 0 2 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10
6 West Ham United Under 18 6 3 1 2 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 10
8 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 9
9 Ipswich Town U18 6 3 0 3 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 8
11 West Bromwich Albion Under 18 6 2 1 3 7
12 Norwich City Under 18 6 2 0 4 6
13 AFC Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 4
15 Reading Under 18 6 1 1 4 4
16 Birmingham City U18 6 1 0 5 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Tottenham Hotspur Under 18 6 33 9 +24 16
2 Chelsea Under 18 6 25 10 +15 12
3 Fulham U18 6 23 15 +8 12
4 Southampton Under 18 6 21 12 +9 12
5 West Ham United Under 18 6 16 15 +1 10
6 Aston Villa U18 6 15 13 +2 8
7 Brentford U18 6 15 15 0 9
8 Ipswich Town U18 6 15 15 0 9
9 Brighton U18 6 15 17 -2 10
10 AFC Bournemouth U18 6 14 22 -8 5
11 Norwich City Under 18 6 13 22 -9 6
12 Arsenal U18 6 10 6 +4 10
13 Crystal Palace U18 6 9 15 -6 4
14 Reading Under 18 6 9 22 -13 4
15 Birmingham City U18 6 6 22 -16 3
16 West Bromwich Albion Under 18 6 5 14 -9 7