Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Statistics & Analysis

Hapoel Herzliya

Oct 08, 2026 - 17:15

0 1.25

0 1.35

xG Accuracy: 49%

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12682506

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Hapoel Herzliya 0–0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Alef Israele
Fixture: Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Hapoel Herzliya 1.25 — Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 49.1% · Probability edge: +5.4 pts · Est. EV: +6.3%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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