Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya Statistics & Analysis

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

Sep 30, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.39

0 1.21

xG Accuracy: 49%

Hapoel Herzliya

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 24, 2026 · 00:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10584491

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0–0 Hapoel Herzliya

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga Alef Israele
Fixture: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya
Kickoff: 2026-09-30 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1.39 — Hapoel Herzliya 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 43.5% · Probability edge: +4.7 pts · Est. EV: +6.0%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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