Statistiche / Calcio / Indonesia. Liga 1 Indonesia / Arema FC vs Adhyaksa

Arema FC vs Adhyaksa Statistics & Analysis

Arema FC Arema FC
Sep 04, 2026 - 08:30
4 1.34
0 1.26
xG Accuracy: 34%
Adhyaksa Adhyaksa
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Arema FC Arema FC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 00:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5899775

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Arema FC win · Arema FC 4–0 Adhyaksa
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga 1 Indonesia
  • Fixture: Arema FC vs Adhyaksa
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 08:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Arema FC 1.34 — Adhyaksa 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga 1 Indonesia Liga 1 Indonesia — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 10
2 Persepam Madura United 3 3 0 0 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 9
4 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6
6 Pusamania Borneo 4 2 0 2 6
7 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 5
8 Bhayangkara FC 3 1 2 0 5
9 Persita 3 1 2 0 5
10 Persebaya Surabaya 3 1 2 0 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 1 1 1 4
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 0
16 Persijap 3 0 0 3 0
17 Malut United 3 0 1 2 -1
18 Adhyaksa 3 0 0 3 -2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Dewa United 4 8 4 +4 10
2 Arema FC 3 8 4 +4 5
3 Persepam Madura United 3 7 2 +5 9
4 Bali United 3 6 3 +3 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 6 4 +2 6
6 Persita 3 6 5 +1 5
7 PSM Makassar 3 6 8 -2 2
8 Bhayangkara FC 3 5 3 +2 5
9 Persija Jakarta 3 4 1 +3 9
10 Persebaya Surabaya 3 3 2 +1 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 3 2 +1 4
12 Pusamania Borneo 4 3 4 -1 6
13 Malut United 3 3 5 -2 -1
14 PSS Sleman 3 3 7 -4 0
15 Garudayaksa 3 2 4 -2 2
16 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 2 4 -2 1
17 Persijap 3 1 5 -4 0
18 Adhyaksa 3 1 10 -9 -2