Statistiche / Calcio / Grecia. Gamma Ethniki - Gruppo 5 / Katsantonis Agrafon vs A. Schimatari

Katsantonis Agrafon vs A. Schimatari Statistics & Analysis

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Katsantonis Agrafon
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 49%
A. Schimatari A. Schimatari
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Katsantonis Agrafon Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11669502

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Katsantonis Agrafon 0–0 A. Schimatari
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Gamma Ethniki - Gruppo 5
  • Fixture: Katsantonis Agrafon vs A. Schimatari
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Katsantonis Agrafon 1.32 — A. Schimatari 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Gamma Ethniki - Gruppo 5 Gamma Ethniki - Gruppo 5 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Fokikos 1 1 0 0 3
2 Kifissos 1 1 0 0 3
3 A. Schimatari 1 1 0 0 3
4 Lamia 1 1 0 0 3
5 Diagoras Agias 1 0 1 0 1
6 Nea Artaki 1 0 1 0 1
7 Karystos 1 0 0 1 0
8 Katsantonis Agrafon 1 0 0 1 0
9 Asteras Stavros 1 0 0 1 0
10 Thiva 1 0 0 1 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Fokikos 1 3 1 +2 3
2 Kifissos 1 3 1 +2 3
3 A. Schimatari 1 2 1 +1 3
4 Lamia 1 1 0 +1 3
5 Karystos 1 1 2 -1 0
6 Asteras Stavros 1 1 3 -2 0
7 Thiva 1 1 3 -2 0
8 Diagoras Agias 1 0 0 0 1
9 Nea Artaki 1 0 0 0 1
10 Katsantonis Agrafon 1 0 1 -1 0
Gamma Ethniki - Gruppo 5 Grecia. Gamma Ethniki - Gruppo 5 Pronostici