Statistiche / Calcio / Gibilterra. Premier Division di Gibilterra / Lynx vs St Joseph's FC

Lynx vs St Joseph's FC Statistics & Analysis

Lynx Lynx
Sep 19, 2026 - 14:30
0 1.04
6 1.56
xG Accuracy: 22%
St Joseph's FC St Joseph's FC
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 St Joseph's FC St Joseph's FC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-6 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8696071

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result St Joseph's FC win · Lynx 0–6 St Joseph's FC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier Division di Gibilterra
  • Fixture: Lynx vs St Joseph's FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 23.7% · Draw 28.5% · Away 47.8%
  • xG (showing): Lynx 1.04 — St Joseph's FC 1.56 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier Division di Gibilterra Premier Division di Gibilterra — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Magpies 5 3 2 0 11
2 St Joseph's FC 3 3 0 0 9
3 Lincoln Red Imps 3 2 1 0 7
4 Mons Calpe 4 2 1 1 7
5 Glacis United 5 2 1 2 7
6 Lions Gibraltar 5 2 1 2 7
7 Europa Point 5 2 1 2 7
8 Europa 5 1 2 2 5
9 College 1975 4 1 1 2 4
10 Hound Dogs 4 0 1 3 1
11 Lynx 5 0 1 4 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 St Joseph's FC 3 11 1 +10 9
2 Magpies 5 11 4 +7 11
3 Lions Gibraltar 5 10 11 -1 7
4 Europa Point 5 8 11 -3 7
5 Lincoln Red Imps 3 7 1 +6 7
6 Glacis United 5 7 6 +1 7
7 Mons Calpe 4 6 4 +2 7
8 College 1975 4 6 6 0 4
9 Europa 5 6 8 -2 5
10 Hound Dogs 4 3 12 -9 1
11 Lynx 5 2 13 -11 1