Young Star vs Bumamuru Statistics & Analysis

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Young Star

Oct 09, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.36

3 1.24

xG Accuracy: 42%

Bumamuru

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Young Star Bumamuru ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 10, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7845866

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Bumamuru win · Young Star 0–3 Bumamuru

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Ligue A Burundi
Fixture: Young Star vs Bumamuru
Kickoff: 2026-09-16 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Young Star 1.36 — Bumamuru 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Ligue A Burundi — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Royal Vision	5	4	1	0	13
2	Muzinga	5	3	1	1	10
3	Aigle Noir	5	3	1	1	10
4	Le Messager Ngozi	4	3	1	0	10
5	Ngozi City	5	3	0	2	9
6	Rukinzo	4	2	2	0	8
7	Vital'O	5	2	2	1	8
8	Bumamuru	6	2	1	3	7
9	Olympic Star	5	1	3	1	6
10	Flambeau du Centre	4	1	2	1	5
11	Kayanza United	5	0	4	1	4
12	Never Give Up Academy	4	1	1	2	4
13	Musongati	5	1	1	3	4
14	Inter Star	4	0	2	2	2
15	Panthère Noir	4	0	1	3	1
16	Young Star	6	0	1	5	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Royal Vision	5	14	3	+11	13
2	Aigle Noir	5	10	7	+3	10
3	Rukinzo	4	9	1	+8	8
4	Muzinga	5	7	3	+4	10
5	Ngozi City	5	7	5	+2	9
6	Bumamuru	6	7	6	+1	7
7	Vital'O	5	7	10	-3	8
8	Olympic Star	5	5	5	0	6
9	Le Messager Ngozi	4	4	1	+3	10
10	Inter Star	4	4	6	-2	2
11	Flambeau du Centre	4	3	3	0	5
12	Musongati	5	3	7	-4	4
13	Kayanza United	5	2	3	-1	4
14	Never Give Up Academy	4	2	4	-2	4
15	Panthère Noir	4	2	5	-3	1
16	Young Star	6	2	19	-17	1