Never Give Up Academy vs Musongati Statistics & Analysis

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Never Give Up Academy

Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.18

2 1.42

xG Accuracy: 62%

Musongati

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Musongati Musongati ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 03, 2026 · 07:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6746618

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Musongati win · Never Give Up Academy 0–2 Musongati

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Ligue A Burundi
Fixture: Never Give Up Academy vs Musongati
Kickoff: 2026-09-09 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
xG (showing): Never Give Up Academy 1.18 — Musongati 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Ligue A Burundi — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Royal Vision	5	4	1	0	13
2	Muzinga	6	4	1	1	13
3	Aigle Noir	6	3	2	1	11
4	Le Messager Ngozi	4	3	1	0	10
5	Ngozi City	5	3	0	2	9
6	Olympic Star	6	2	3	1	9
7	Rukinzo	4	2	2	0	8
8	Vital'O	5	2	2	1	8
9	Bumamuru	6	2	1	3	7
10	Flambeau du Centre	5	1	2	2	5
11	Kayanza United	6	0	5	1	5
12	Never Give Up Academy	5	1	1	3	4
13	Musongati	5	1	1	3	4
14	Inter Star	4	0	2	2	2
15	Panthère Noir	4	0	1	3	1
16	Young Star	6	0	1	5	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Royal Vision	5	14	3	+11	13
2	Aigle Noir	6	11	8	+3	11
3	Rukinzo	4	9	1	+8	8
4	Muzinga	6	9	4	+5	13
5	Ngozi City	5	7	5	+2	9
6	Bumamuru	6	7	6	+1	7
7	Vital'O	5	7	10	-3	8
8	Olympic Star	6	6	5	+1	9
9	Le Messager Ngozi	4	4	1	+3	10
10	Flambeau du Centre	5	4	5	-1	5
11	Inter Star	4	4	6	-2	2
12	Kayanza United	6	3	4	-1	5
13	Musongati	5	3	7	-4	4
14	Never Give Up Academy	5	2	5	-3	4
15	Panthère Noir	4	2	5	-3	1
16	Young Star	6	2	19	-17	1