Vital'O vs Inter Star Statistics & Analysis

Vital'O

Aug 16, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.40

1 1.20

xG Accuracy: 85%

Inter Star

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Vital'O Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 11, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3606176

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Vital'O 1–1 Inter Star

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Ligue A Burundi
Fixture: Vital'O vs Inter Star
Kickoff: 2026-08-16 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
xG (showing): Vital'O 1.4 — Inter Star 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Ligue A Burundi — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Royal Vision	4	3	1	0	10
2	Muzinga	4	3	0	1	9
3	Vital'O	4	2	2	0	8
4	Aigle Noir	4	2	1	1	7
5	Le Messager Ngozi	3	2	1	0	7
6	Ngozi City	3	2	0	1	6
7	Rukinzo	3	1	2	0	5
8	Olympic Star	4	1	2	1	5
9	Never Give Up Academy	3	1	1	1	4
10	Bumamuru	4	1	1	2	4
11	Kayanza United	3	0	3	0	3
12	Flambeau du Centre	3	0	2	1	2
13	Inter Star	3	0	1	2	1
14	Panthère Noir	3	0	1	2	1
15	Musongati	4	0	1	3	1
16	Young Star	4	0	1	3	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Royal Vision	4	9	3	+6	10
2	Aigle Noir	4	8	6	+2	7
3	Vital'O	4	7	5	+2	8
4	Muzinga	4	6	2	+4	9
5	Ngozi City	3	5	3	+2	6
6	Olympic Star	4	4	4	0	5
7	Bumamuru	4	4	5	-1	4
8	Le Messager Ngozi	3	3	1	+2	7
9	Inter Star	3	3	5	-2	1
10	Rukinzo	3	2	1	+1	5
11	Never Give Up Academy	3	2	2	0	4
12	Flambeau du Centre	3	2	3	-1	2
13	Panthère Noir	3	2	4	-2	1
14	Young Star	4	2	9	-7	1
15	Kayanza United	3	1	1	0	3
16	Musongati	4	1	7	-6	1