Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Africa Cup of Nations - Women / Algeria Femminile vs Malawi W

Algeria Femminile vs Malawi W Statistics & Analysis

Algeria Femminile Algeria Femminile
Aug 12, 2026 - 17:00
1 1.31
3 1.29
xG Accuracy: 57%
Malawi W Malawi W
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Algeria Femminile Malawi W ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 11, 2026 · 01:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3612622

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Malawi W win · Algeria Femminile 1–3 Malawi W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Africa Cup of Nations - Women
  • Fixture: Algeria Femminile vs Malawi W
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-12 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Algeria Femminile 1.31 — Malawi W 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Africa Cup of Nations - Women Africa Cup of Nations - Women — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 7
2 Algeria Femminile 3 2 0 1 6
3 Senegal Femminile 3 1 1 1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Morocco W 3 5 0 +5 7
2 Algeria Femminile 3 4 1 +3 6
3 Senegal Femminile 3 1 2 -1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 7 -7 0