Statistiche / Calcio / Kosovo. Liga e Parë / Tefik Canga vs Dinamo Ferizaj

Tefik Canga vs Dinamo Ferizaj Statistics & Analysis

Sep 11, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.23
1 1.37
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Dinamo Ferizaj Dinamo Ferizaj ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7456658

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dinamo Ferizaj win · Tefik Canga 0–1 Dinamo Ferizaj
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga e Parë
  • Fixture: Tefik Canga vs Dinamo Ferizaj
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): Tefik Canga 1.23 — Dinamo Ferizaj 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga e Parë Liga e Parë — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Liria Prizren 7 5 1 1 16
2 Dinamo Ferizaj 7 4 3 0 15
3 Prishtina e Re 7 5 0 2 15
4 Rilindja 1974 7 4 2 1 14
5 Trepça'89 7 3 4 0 13
6 Suhareka 7 3 2 2 11
7 Vëllaznimi 7 3 1 3 10
8 Ferizaj 7 2 3 2 9
9 2 Korriku 7 2 2 3 8
10 FC Besa Peja 7 2 2 3 8
11 Kika 7 1 5 1 8
12 Trepça Mitrovicë 7 2 2 3 8
13 Ramiz Sadiku 7 1 4 2 7
14 Istogu 7 2 1 4 7
15 Vjosa 7 1 3 3 6
16 KF Lepenci 7 0 4 3 4
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 4
18 Tefik Canga 7 0 3 4 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Suhareka 7 15 10 +5 11
2 Dinamo Ferizaj 7 14 4 +10 15
3 Prishtina e Re 7 14 8 +6 15
4 Rilindja 1974 7 11 6 +5 14
5 Liria Prizren 7 9 4 +5 16
6 Ferizaj 7 9 5 +4 9
7 Ramiz Sadiku 7 9 11 -2 7
8 Vëllaznimi 7 9 14 -5 10
9 Trepça'89 7 8 4 +4 13
10 Vjosa 7 8 8 0 6
11 FC Besa Peja 7 6 7 -1 8
12 Tefik Canga 7 6 11 -5 3
13 Trepça Mitrovicë 7 6 12 -6 8
14 2 Korriku 7 5 5 0 8
15 Mitrovica 7 5 11 -6 4
16 Istogu 7 5 12 -7 7
17 Kika 7 4 6 -2 8
18 KF Lepenci 7 4 9 -5 4