Trepça Mitrovicë vs Kika Statistics & Analysis

Trepça Mitrovicë

Sep 06, 2026 - 14:00

0 1.41

0 1.19

xG Accuracy: 49%

Kika

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Trepça Mitrovicë Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 0-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 03:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6156843

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Trepça Mitrovicë 0–0 Kika

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga e Parë
Fixture: Trepça Mitrovicë vs Kika
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Trepça Mitrovicë 1.41 — Kika 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga e Parë — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Liria Prizren	7	5	1	1	16
2	Prishtina e Re	7	5	0	2	15
3	Dinamo Ferizaj	6	4	2	0	14
4	Trepça'89	7	3	4	0	13
5	Rilindja 1974	6	3	2	1	11
6	Vëllaznimi	7	3	1	3	10
7	Ferizaj	6	2	2	2	8
8	Suhareka	6	2	2	2	8
9	Trepça Mitrovicë	6	2	2	2	8
10	2 Korriku	6	2	1	3	7
11	FC Besa Peja	6	2	1	3	7
12	Ramiz Sadiku	7	1	4	2	7
13	Kika	6	1	4	1	7
14	Istogu	7	2	1	4	7
15	Vjosa	7	1	3	3	6
16	KF Lepenci	6	0	4	2	4
17	Mitrovica	7	0	4	3	4
18	Tefik Canga	6	0	2	4	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Prishtina e Re	7	14	8	+6	15
2	Dinamo Ferizaj	6	13	3	+10	14
3	Suhareka	6	11	9	+2	8
4	Liria Prizren	7	9	4	+5	16
5	Ferizaj	6	9	5	+4	8
6	Rilindja 1974	6	9	6	+3	11
7	Ramiz Sadiku	7	9	11	-2	7
8	Vëllaznimi	7	9	14	-5	10
9	Trepça'89	7	8	4	+4	13
10	Vjosa	7	8	8	0	6
11	2 Korriku	6	5	5	0	7
12	FC Besa Peja	6	5	6	-1	7
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	6	5	8	-3	8
14	Tefik Canga	6	5	10	-5	2
15	Mitrovica	7	5	11	-6	4
16	Istogu	7	5	12	-7	7
17	KF Lepenci	6	4	7	-3	4
18	Kika	6	3	5	-2	7