Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. Professional Development League / Colchester United U21 vs Swansea City U21

Colchester United U21 vs Swansea City U21 Statistics & Analysis

Oct 06, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.15
2 1.45
xG Accuracy: 82%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 30, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11910846

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Swansea City U21 win · Colchester United U21 1–2 Swansea City U21
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Professional Development League
  • Fixture: Colchester United U21 vs Swansea City U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-06 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): Colchester United U21 1.15 — Swansea City U21 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 19.2% · Probability edge: +32.6 pts · Est. EV: +184.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Professional Development League Professional Development League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Bolton Wanderers Reserves 7 6 0 1 18
2 Fleetwood Town U21 7 5 0 2 15
3 Sheffield United U21 6 3 1 2 10
4 Bristol City U21 5 2 3 0 9
5 Swansea City U21 6 3 0 3 9
6 Charlton Athletic U21 6 2 3 1 9
7 Wigan Athletic U21 7 2 3 2 9
8 Cardiff City U21 5 2 2 1 8
9 Coventry City U21 5 2 1 2 7
10 Barnsley U21 5 2 1 2 7
11 Peterborough United U21 5 2 1 2 7
12 Huddersfield Town U21 4 2 0 2 6
13 Sheffield Wednesday U21 6 1 3 2 6
14 Colchester United U21 6 2 0 4 6
15 Queens Park Rangers U21 6 1 1 4 4
16 Hull City U21 4 0 1 3 1
17 Millwall U21 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bolton Wanderers Reserves 7 19 5 +14 18
2 Wigan Athletic U21 7 17 20 -3 9
3 Cardiff City U21 5 13 5 +8 8
4 Bristol City U21 5 13 8 +5 9
5 Colchester United U21 6 13 19 -6 6
6 Swansea City U21 6 11 9 +2 9
7 Barnsley U21 5 11 13 -2 7
8 Queens Park Rangers U21 6 11 16 -5 4
9 Charlton Athletic U21 6 10 8 +2 9
10 Coventry City U21 5 10 10 0 7
11 Fleetwood Town U21 7 10 11 -1 15
12 Sheffield United U21 6 9 7 +2 10
13 Sheffield Wednesday U21 6 9 9 0 6
14 Huddersfield Town U21 4 8 7 +1 6
15 Peterborough United U21 5 8 12 -4 7
16 Hull City U21 4 5 11 -6 1
17 Millwall U21 4 2 9 -7 0
Professional Development League Inghilterra. Professional Development League Pronostici