Statistiche / Calcio / Paesi Bassi. Derde Divisie / EVV vs Noordwijk

EVV vs Noordwijk Statistics & Analysis

EVV EVV
Oct 03, 2026 - 17:30
0 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Noordwijk Noordwijk
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 EVV Noordwijk ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11257290

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Noordwijk win · EVV 0–2 Noordwijk
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Derde Divisie - Saturday
  • Fixture: EVV vs Noordwijk
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): EVV 1.32 — Noordwijk 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 36.4% · Probability edge: +15.4 pts · Est. EV: +33.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Derde Divisie Derde Divisie — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Excelsior '31 8 6 1 1 19
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 20
2 ACV 8 6 1 1 19
2 Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 19
3 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 17
4 SC Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 18
4 FC Lisse 7 5 1 1 16
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 17
5 GOES 7 4 2 1 14
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 16
6 Dongen 8 4 1 3 13
7 Sportlust '46 8 4 3 1 15
7 Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 13
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 14
8 UDI '19 7 3 2 2 11
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 14
9 Gemert 7 2 4 1 10
10 Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 13
10 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 9
11 ADO '20 8 3 1 4 10
11 Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 9
12 Hercules 8 3 0 5 9
12 Blauw Geel '38 7 2 2 3 8
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 5
13 TOGB 8 2 2 4 8
14 Dovo 8 1 2 5 5
14 UNA 7 1 4 2 7
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 3
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 7
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 3
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 6
17 Hollandia 7 0 1 6 1
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 3
18 SVZW 8 0 1 7 1
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 TEC 8 27 16 +11 16
2 Rijnvogels 8 25 7 +18 20
3 Excelsior '31 8 22 6 +16 19
4 Sparta Nijkerk 8 22 16 +6 14
5 Hoogeveen 8 22 17 +5 13
6 ACV 8 21 8 +13 19
7 Dongen 8 21 17 +4 13
8 SC Genemuiden 8 19 9 +10 18
9 Excelsior Maassluis 8 16 5 +11 17
10 Sportlust '46 8 16 13 +3 15
11 GOES 7 16 13 +3 14
12 Noordwijk 8 15 2 +13 19
13 VV Scherpenzeel 8 15 9 +6 19
14 Harkemase Boys 8 15 11 +4 17
15 Purmersteijn 8 15 11 +4 14
16 ADO '20 8 15 18 -3 10
17 Roosendaal 8 13 16 -3 9
18 TOGB 8 13 18 -5 8
19 Hollandia 7 13 23 -10 1
20 FC Lisse 7 12 6 +6 16
21 Gemert 7 12 11 +1 10
22 Hercules 8 12 20 -8 9
23 Groene Ster 8 12 20 -8 6
24 UNA 7 11 12 -1 7
25 UDI '19 7 10 9 +1 11
26 Blauw Geel '38 7 10 10 0 8
27 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 10 15 -5 5
28 Staphorst 8 10 18 -8 3
29 Dovo 8 9 19 -10 5
30 Eemdijk 7 9 26 -17 3
31 SVZW 8 9 26 -17 1
32 Poortugaal 8 8 13 -5 9
33 VVSB 8 8 16 -8 7
34 EVV 8 8 19 -11 2
35 Zwaluwen 8 7 10 -3 13
36 Achilles Veen 8 7 20 -13 3
Derde Divisie Paesi Bassi. Derde Divisie Pronostici