Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18 / Tarancón vs Socuéllamos

Tarancón vs Socuéllamos Statistics & Analysis

Tarancón Tarancón
Oct 10, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.39
0 1.21
xG Accuracy: 64%
Socuéllamos Socuéllamos
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Tarancón Tarancón ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13241070

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tarancón win · Tarancón 1–0 Socuéllamos
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18
  • Fixture: Tarancón vs Socuéllamos
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Tarancón 1.39 — Socuéllamos 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.3% · Implied: 49.2% · Probability edge: +5.1 pts · Est. EV: +3.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Manchego 5 5 0 0 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 10
6 Almansa 6 3 1 2 10
7 Tarancón 6 3 1 2 10
8 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 9
9 Marchamalo 6 2 2 2 8
10 Villacañas 5 2 1 2 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 5
13 Quintanar del Rey 6 1 2 3 5
14 Socuéllamos 6 0 4 2 4
15 La Solana 5 1 0 4 3
16 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3
17 Guadalajara II 6 0 2 4 2
18 Huracán Balazote 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Toledo 5 12 6 +6 10
2 Almansa 6 11 6 +5 10
3 Tarancón 6 11 7 +4 10
4 Marchamalo 6 11 10 +1 8
5 Villarrobledo 5 8 1 +7 11
6 Manchego 5 8 2 +6 15
7 Illescas 5 7 3 +4 11
8 Noblejas 5 7 8 -1 7
9 San Clemente 5 7 11 -4 5
10 Torrijos 5 6 2 +4 11
11 CD Villa 5 6 4 +2 9
12 Villacañas 5 6 4 +2 7
13 Quintanar del Rey 6 6 11 -5 5
14 Guadalajara II 6 6 13 -7 2
15 La Solana 5 4 9 -5 3
16 Huracán Balazote 5 4 14 -10 0
17 Socuéllamos 6 3 6 -3 4
18 Villarrubia 5 3 9 -6 3
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18 Pronostici