Socuéllamos vs Guadalajara II Statistics & Analysis

Socuéllamos

Oct 04, 2026 - 10:00

2 1.41

2 1.19

xG Accuracy: 68%

Guadalajara II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Socuéllamos Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11661192

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Socuéllamos 2–2 Guadalajara II

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18
Fixture: Socuéllamos vs Guadalajara II
Kickoff: 2026-10-04 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Socuéllamos 1.41 — Guadalajara II 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Manchego	5	5	0	0	15
2	Villarrobledo	5	3	2	0	11
3	Illescas	5	3	2	0	11
4	Torrijos	5	3	2	0	11
5	Toledo	5	3	1	1	10
6	Almansa	6	3	1	2	10
7	Tarancón	6	3	1	2	10
8	CD Villa	5	3	0	2	9
9	Marchamalo	6	2	2	2	8
10	Villacañas	5	2	1	2	7
11	Noblejas	5	2	1	2	7
12	San Clemente	5	1	2	2	5
13	Quintanar del Rey	6	1	2	3	5
14	Socuéllamos	6	0	4	2	4
15	La Solana	5	1	0	4	3
16	Villarrubia	5	0	3	2	3
17	Guadalajara II	6	0	2	4	2
18	Huracán Balazote	5	0	0	5	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Toledo	5	12	6	+6	10
2	Almansa	6	11	6	+5	10
3	Tarancón	6	11	7	+4	10
4	Marchamalo	6	11	10	+1	8
5	Villarrobledo	5	8	1	+7	11
6	Manchego	5	8	2	+6	15
7	Illescas	5	7	3	+4	11
8	Noblejas	5	7	8	-1	7
9	San Clemente	5	7	11	-4	5
10	Torrijos	5	6	2	+4	11
11	CD Villa	5	6	4	+2	9
12	Villacañas	5	6	4	+2	7
13	Quintanar del Rey	6	6	11	-5	5
14	Guadalajara II	6	6	13	-7	2
15	La Solana	5	4	9	-5	3
16	Huracán Balazote	5	4	14	-10	0
17	Socuéllamos	6	3	6	-3	4
18	Villarrubia	5	3	9	-6	3