Villarrubia vs San Clemente Statistics & Analysis

Villarrubia

Sep 05, 2026 - 17:00

1 1.36

1 1.24

xG Accuracy: 85%

San Clemente

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Villarrubia Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 08:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6369323

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Villarrubia 1–1 San Clemente

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18
Fixture: Villarrubia vs San Clemente
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Villarrubia 1.36 — San Clemente 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 18 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Manchego	2	2	0	0	6
2	Toledo	2	1	1	0	4
3	Marchamalo	1	1	0	0	3
4	Villacañas	2	1	0	1	3
5	Noblejas	1	1	0	0	3
6	Torrijos	1	1	0	0	3
7	Illescas	1	1	0	0	3
8	CD Villa	2	1	0	1	3
9	Villarrubia	2	0	2	0	2
10	San Clemente	1	0	1	0	1
11	Villarrobledo	1	0	1	0	1
12	Socuéllamos	1	0	1	0	1
13	Almansa	1	0	0	1	0
14	Tarancón	1	0	0	1	0
15	La Solana	1	0	0	1	0
16	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	0
17	Guadalajara II	2	0	0	2	0
18	Huracán Balazote	1	0	0	1	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Toledo	2	5	3	+2	4
2	Manchego	2	3	0	+3	6
3	Villacañas	2	3	2	+1	3
4	Noblejas	1	3	2	+1	3
5	Marchamalo	1	2	0	+2	3
6	Villarrubia	2	2	2	0	2
7	Almansa	1	2	3	-1	0
8	Quintanar del Rey	1	2	4	-2	0
9	Torrijos	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Illescas	1	1	0	+1	3
11	San Clemente	1	1	1	0	1
12	CD Villa	2	1	2	-1	3
13	Villarrobledo	1	0	0	0	1
14	Socuéllamos	1	0	0	0	1
15	Tarancón	1	0	1	-1	0
16	La Solana	1	0	1	-1	0
17	Guadalajara II	2	0	2	-2	0
18	Huracán Balazote	1	0	3	-3	0