Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 / Almudévar vs Belchite 97

Almudévar vs Belchite 97 Statistics & Analysis

Almudévar Almudévar
Sep 20, 2026 - 15:00
4 1.34
0 1.26
xG Accuracy: 34%
Belchite 97 Belchite 97
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Almudévar Almudévar ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8686068

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Almudévar win · Almudévar 4–0 Belchite 97
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17
  • Fixture: Almudévar vs Belchite 97
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Almudévar 1.34 — Belchite 97 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Fraga 4 2 2 0 8
2 Real Zaragoza B 3 2 1 0 7
3 Épila 3 2 1 0 7
4 Atlético Monzón 4 2 1 1 7
5 Cuarte 3 2 0 1 6
6 Almudévar 4 2 0 2 6
7 Ejea 3 2 0 1 6
8 Huesca II 4 1 3 0 6
9 Brea 3 1 2 0 5
10 Caspe 3 1 1 1 4
11 La Almunia 3 1 1 1 4
12 Andorra CF 3 1 1 1 4
13 Binéfar 3 1 0 2 3
14 CDJ Tamarite 3 1 0 2 3
15 Robres 3 0 1 2 1
16 CD Sietamo 3 0 1 2 1
17 Belchite 97 3 0 1 2 1
18 Illueca 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Cuarte 3 7 3 +4 6
2 Almudévar 4 7 5 +2 6
3 Binéfar 3 7 7 0 3
4 Atlético Monzón 4 6 7 -1 7
5 Fraga 4 5 2 +3 8
6 Real Zaragoza B 3 5 2 +3 7
7 Brea 3 5 2 +3 5
8 CDJ Tamarite 3 5 6 -1 3
9 Robres 3 5 7 -2 1
10 Épila 3 4 1 +3 7
11 Ejea 3 4 2 +2 6
12 Caspe 3 4 2 +2 4
13 Huesca II 4 4 3 +1 6
14 La Almunia 3 4 5 -1 4
15 Andorra CF 3 3 4 -1 4
16 CD Sietamo 3 3 8 -5 1
17 Belchite 97 3 2 7 -5 1
18 Illueca 3 0 7 -7 0
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 Pronostici