Cuarte vs CD Sietamo Statistics & Analysis

Sep 13, 2026 - 10:00
5 1.49
2 1.11
xG Accuracy: 30%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Cuarte Cuarte ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 5-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7448601

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cuarte win · Cuarte 5–2 CD Sietamo
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17
  • Fixture: Cuarte vs CD Sietamo
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 44.3% · Draw 29.0% · Away 26.7%
  • xG (showing): Cuarte 1.49 — CD Sietamo 1.11 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 17 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Cuarte 2 2 0 0 6
2 Fraga 2 2 0 0 6
3 Real Zaragoza B 2 2 0 0 6
4 Huesca II 3 1 2 0 5
5 Brea 2 1 1 0 4
6 Épila 2 1 1 0 4
7 La Almunia 3 1 1 1 4
8 Caspe 2 1 0 1 3
9 Binéfar 3 1 0 2 3
10 CDJ Tamarite 2 1 0 1 3
11 Ejea 2 1 0 1 3
12 Almudévar 2 1 0 1 3
13 Atlético Monzón 2 1 0 1 3
14 Belchite 97 2 0 1 1 1
15 Robres 3 0 1 2 1
16 Andorra CF 2 0 1 1 1
17 CD Sietamo 2 0 0 2 0
18 Illueca 2 0 0 2 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Cuarte 2 7 2 +5 6
2 Binéfar 3 7 7 0 3
3 Fraga 2 5 2 +3 6
4 Robres 3 5 7 -2 1
5 Real Zaragoza B 2 4 1 +3 6
6 Brea 2 4 1 +3 4
7 Huesca II 3 4 3 +1 5
8 CDJ Tamarite 2 4 4 0 3
9 La Almunia 3 4 5 -1 4
10 Atlético Monzón 2 4 6 -2 3
11 Caspe 2 3 1 +2 3
12 Épila 2 2 0 +2 4
13 Ejea 2 2 2 0 3
14 Almudévar 2 2 3 -1 3
15 Belchite 97 2 2 3 -1 1
16 Andorra CF 2 2 4 -2 1
17 CD Sietamo 2 2 7 -5 0
18 Illueca 2 0 5 -5 0