Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 / River Ebro vs Pradejón

River Ebro vs Pradejón Statistics & Analysis

River Ebro River Ebro
Oct 08, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 75%
Pradejón Pradejón
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 River Ebro Pradejón ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13212782

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pradejón win · River Ebro 1–2 Pradejón
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16
  • Fixture: River Ebro vs Pradejón
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-08 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): River Ebro 1.32 — Pradejón 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Haro Deportivo 4 3 1 0 10
2 Calahorra 4 3 0 1 9
3 Berceo 4 3 0 1 9
4 La Calzada 4 3 0 1 9
5 Pradejón 4 2 1 1 7
6 Alfaro 4 2 1 1 7
7 Varea 4 1 3 0 6
8 Yagüe 5 2 0 3 6
9 Agoncillo 4 1 2 1 5
10 Anguiano 4 1 2 1 5
11 San Marcial 4 1 2 1 5
12 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 5
13 Comillas 4 1 2 1 5
14 Oyonesa 4 1 1 2 4
15 Casalarreina 4 1 0 3 3
16 River Ebro 4 1 0 3 3
17 Calasancio 4 0 2 2 2
18 Vianés 4 0 1 3 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Calahorra 4 13 5 +8 9
2 Berceo 4 12 4 +8 9
3 Haro Deportivo 4 10 5 +5 10
4 Agoncillo 4 10 8 +2 5
5 La Calzada 4 8 4 +4 9
6 Alfaro 4 7 6 +1 7
7 Pradejón 4 6 4 +2 7
8 Cenicero 5 6 7 -1 5
9 Yagüe 5 5 8 -3 6
10 Vianés 4 5 8 -3 1
11 Calasancio 4 5 11 -6 2
12 Anguiano 4 4 4 0 5
13 Oyonesa 4 4 6 -2 4
14 River Ebro 4 4 12 -8 3
15 Varea 4 3 2 +1 6
16 San Marcial 4 3 3 0 5
17 Comillas 4 3 4 -1 5
18 Casalarreina 4 3 10 -7 3
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 Pronostici