Vianés vs Pradejón Statistics & Analysis

Sep 13, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.36
2 1.24
xG Accuracy: 74%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Vianés Pradejón ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7448530

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Pradejón win · Vianés 1–2 Pradejón
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16
  • Fixture: Vianés vs Pradejón
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Vianés 1.36 — Pradejón 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 16Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Anguiano 1 1 0 0 3
2 Berceo 1 1 0 0 3
3 La Calzada 1 1 0 0 3
4 Casalarreina 1 1 0 0 3
5 Comillas 1 1 0 0 3
6 San Marcial 1 1 0 0 3
7 Alfaro 1 0 1 0 1
8 Calasancio 1 0 1 0 1
9 Haro Deportivo 1 0 1 0 1
10 Varea 1 0 1 0 1
11 Agoncillo 1 0 1 0 1
12 Cenicero 1 0 1 0 1
13 Calahorra 1 0 0 1 0
14 Oyonesa 1 0 0 1 0
15 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 0
16 River Ebro 1 0 0 1 0
17 Yagüe 1 0 0 1 0
18 Vianés 1 0 0 1 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Anguiano 1 2 1 +1 3
2 Berceo 1 2 1 +1 3
3 La Calzada 1 2 1 +1 3
4 Casalarreina 1 2 1 +1 3
5 Comillas 1 2 1 +1 3
6 Alfaro 1 2 2 0 1
7 Calasancio 1 2 2 0 1
8 San Marcial 1 1 0 +1 3
9 Haro Deportivo 1 1 1 0 1
10 Varea 1 1 1 0 1
11 Agoncillo 1 1 1 0 1
12 Cenicero 1 1 1 0 1
13 Calahorra 1 1 2 -1 0
14 Oyonesa 1 1 2 -1 0
15 Pradejón 1 1 2 -1 0
16 River Ebro 1 1 2 -1 0
17 Yagüe 1 1 2 -1 0
18 Vianés 1 0 1 -1 0