Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 / Valle Egüés vs Mutilvera

Valle Egüés vs Mutilvera Statistics & Analysis

Valle Egüés Valle Egüés
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.18
1 1.42
xG Accuracy: 85%
Mutilvera Mutilvera
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Mutilvera Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8703692

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Valle Egüés 1–1 Mutilvera
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15
  • Fixture: Valle Egüés vs Mutilvera
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.6% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.0%
  • xG (showing): Valle Egüés 1.18 — Mutilvera 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Izarra 3 3 0 0 9
2 Beti Kozkor 3 2 1 0 7
3 Gazte Berriak 3 2 0 1 6
4 Doneztebe FT 4 1 2 1 5
5 Avance Ezcabarte 3 1 2 0 5
6 Aoiz 3 1 2 0 5
7 Mutilvera 3 1 2 0 5
8 Subiza 3 1 1 1 4
9 Txantrea 3 1 1 1 4
10 San Juan 3 1 0 2 3
11 Beti Onak 3 0 3 0 3
12 Huarte 4 0 3 1 3
13 Cortes 3 1 0 2 3
14 Cantolagua 3 1 0 2 3
15 Pamplona 3 0 2 1 2
16 Valle Egüés 3 0 2 1 2
17 Cirbonero 3 0 2 1 2
18 Bidezarra 3 0 1 2 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Izarra 3 12 1 +11 9
2 Doneztebe FT 4 10 6 +4 5
3 Subiza 3 8 6 +2 4
4 Avance Ezcabarte 3 6 2 +4 5
5 San Juan 3 6 5 +1 3
6 Valle Egüés 3 5 8 -3 2
7 Gazte Berriak 3 4 3 +1 6
8 Huarte 4 4 5 -1 3
9 Aoiz 3 3 1 +2 5
10 Beti Onak 3 3 3 0 3
11 Beti Kozkor 3 2 0 +2 7
12 Mutilvera 3 2 1 +1 5
13 Pamplona 3 2 3 -1 2
14 Txantrea 3 2 5 -3 4
15 Cortes 3 2 6 -4 3
16 Cantolagua 3 2 8 -6 3
17 Cirbonero 3 1 5 -4 2
18 Bidezarra 3 0 6 -6 1
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 Pronostici