Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 / San Juan vs Txantrea

San Juan vs Txantrea Statistics & Analysis

San Juan San Juan
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:30
0 1.41
1 1.19
xG Accuracy: 64%
Txantrea Txantrea
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 San Juan Txantrea ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8704652

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Txantrea win · San Juan 0–1 Txantrea
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15
  • Fixture: San Juan vs Txantrea
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): San Juan 1.41 — Txantrea 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Izarra 4 4 0 0 12
2 Mutilvera 4 2 2 0 8
3 Gazte Berriak 4 2 1 1 7
4 Beti Kozkor 4 2 1 1 7
5 Aoiz 4 1 3 0 6
6 Doneztebe FT 4 1 2 1 5
7 Avance Ezcabarte 4 1 2 1 5
8 Txantrea 4 1 2 1 5
9 Subiza 3 1 1 1 4
10 San Juan 4 1 1 2 4
11 Beti Onak 4 0 4 0 4
12 Cortes 4 1 1 2 4
13 Huarte 4 0 3 1 3
14 Pamplona 4 0 3 1 3
15 Cantolagua 3 1 0 2 3
16 Valle Egüés 3 0 2 1 2
17 Cirbonero 3 0 2 1 2
18 Bidezarra 4 0 2 2 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Izarra 4 16 2 +14 12
2 Doneztebe FT 4 10 6 +4 5
3 Subiza 3 8 6 +2 4
4 San Juan 4 7 6 +1 4
5 Avance Ezcabarte 4 6 3 +3 5
6 Gazte Berriak 4 5 4 +1 7
7 Valle Egüés 3 5 8 -3 2
8 Aoiz 4 4 2 +2 6
9 Beti Onak 4 4 4 0 4
10 Huarte 4 4 5 -1 3
11 Txantrea 4 4 7 -3 5
12 Mutilvera 4 3 1 +2 8
13 Beti Kozkor 4 3 4 -1 7
14 Pamplona 4 2 3 -1 3
15 Cortes 4 2 6 -4 4
16 Cantolagua 3 2 8 -6 3
17 Bidezarra 4 2 8 -6 2
18 Cirbonero 3 1 5 -4 2
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 15 Pronostici