Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 14 / Gévora vs Llerenense

Gévora vs Llerenense Statistics & Analysis

Gévora Gévora
Oct 11, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.34
2 1.26
xG Accuracy: 74%
Llerenense Llerenense
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Gévora Llerenense ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13231308

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Llerenense win · Gévora 1–2 Llerenense
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 14
  • Fixture: Gévora vs Llerenense
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Gévora 1.34 — Llerenense 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 14 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 14 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Azuaga 5 5 0 0 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 11
3 Llerenense 4 3 1 0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 9
5 Puebla Calzada 5 2 2 1 8
6 Gévora 5 2 2 1 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6
10 Villafranca 5 2 0 3 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6
12 Cabeza Buey 5 1 2 2 5
13 Jerez 4 1 1 2 4
14 Jaraíz 5 1 1 3 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 4
16 Atlético Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 3
17 Plasencia 4 0 1 3 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Azuaga 5 14 2 +12 15
2 Moralo 5 9 5 +4 11
3 Castuera 4 8 3 +5 9
4 Puebla Calzada 5 8 4 +4 8
5 Gévora 5 8 9 -1 8
6 Villafranca 5 7 8 -1 6
7 Santa Amalia 5 6 5 +1 6
8 Cabeza Buey 5 6 6 0 5
9 Montijo 5 6 8 -2 6
10 Jaraíz 5 6 9 -3 4
11 CD Zafra 4 5 3 +2 7
12 Villanovense 5 5 4 +1 7
13 Atlético Pueblonuevo 5 5 10 -5 3
14 Jerez 4 4 6 -2 4
15 Llerenense 4 3 0 +3 10
16 Quintana 4 2 5 -3 4
17 Plasencia 4 2 8 -6 1
18 Guadiana 5 2 11 -9 1
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 14 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 14 Pronostici