Alcantarilla vs Atlético Pulpileño Statistics & Analysis

Alcantarilla

Sep 12, 2026 - 16:00

0 1.13

0 1.47

xG Accuracy: 49%

Atlético Pulpileño

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Atlético Pulpileño Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7464253

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Alcantarilla 0–0 Atlético Pulpileño

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 13
Fixture: Alcantarilla vs Atlético Pulpileño
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 27.5% · Draw 29.2% · Away 43.3%
xG (showing): Alcantarilla 1.13 — Atlético Pulpileño 1.47 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 13 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Santomera	3	2	1	0	7
2	San Javier	3	2	1	0	7
3	Bullas Deportivo	3	1	2	0	5
4	Alcantarilla	3	1	2	0	5
5	Atlético Pulpileño	3	1	2	0	5
6	Los Garres	3	1	2	0	5
7	Bala Azul	3	1	2	0	5
8	Santa Cruz	4	1	2	1	5
9	UCAM Murcia II	3	1	1	1	4
10	Unión Molinense	3	1	1	1	4
11	Olímpico Totana	3	1	1	1	4
12	Águilas II	4	0	4	0	4
13	SFC Minerva	3	1	1	1	4
14	Cotillas CD	3	1	1	1	4
15	Cartagena LU II	3	0	2	1	2
16	Mazarrón FC	3	0	1	2	1
17	Balsicas Atlético	3	0	0	3	0
18	Algar	3	0	0	3	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	UCAM Murcia II	3	7	4	+3	4
2	Santa Cruz	4	7	7	0	5
3	Santomera	3	6	3	+3	7
4	San Javier	3	6	4	+2	7
5	Unión Molinense	3	6	5	+1	4
6	Bullas Deportivo	3	4	1	+3	5
7	Los Garres	3	4	3	+1	5
8	Olímpico Totana	3	4	4	0	4
9	Águilas II	4	4	4	0	4
10	Cotillas CD	3	4	5	-1	4
11	Cartagena LU II	3	4	6	-2	2
12	Alcantarilla	3	3	1	+2	5
13	Bala Azul	3	3	2	+1	5
14	Mazarrón FC	3	3	5	-2	1
15	Atlético Pulpileño	3	2	0	+2	5
16	SFC Minerva	3	1	1	0	4
17	Balsicas Atlético	3	0	6	-6	0
18	Algar	3	0	7	-7	0