Tenerife C vs Villaverde Norte Statistics & Analysis

Tenerife C

Oct 10, 2026 - 14:30

4 1.27

1 1.33

xG Accuracy: 43%

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Villaverde Norte

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Villaverde Norte Tenerife C ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13234901

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Tenerife C win · Tenerife C 4–1 Villaverde Norte

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12
Fixture: Tenerife C vs Villaverde Norte
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
xG (showing): Tenerife C 1.27 — Villaverde Norte 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	UD San Fernando	5	4	0	1	12
2	Real Unión de Tenerife	5	4	0	1	12
3	San Miguel	5	3	1	1	10
4	Panadería Pulido	5	3	1	1	10
5	Mensajero	5	3	1	1	10
6	San Bartolomé	5	2	3	0	9
7	Las Palmas III	5	2	2	1	8
8	Marino	5	2	1	2	7
9	Tenerife C	5	2	1	2	7
10	Los Llanos	5	2	1	2	7
11	Estrella	5	2	1	2	7
12	Lanzarote	5	1	3	1	6
13	Villa Santa Brígida	5	1	3	1	6
14	Unión Sur Yaiza	5	2	0	3	6
15	Anaza	5	1	1	3	4
16	Laguna de Duero	5	0	1	4	1
17	Villaverde Norte	5	0	1	4	1
18	Playas Sotavento	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Panadería Pulido	5	14	11	+3	10
2	Marino	5	13	8	+5	7
3	UD San Fernando	5	12	2	+10	12
4	Tenerife C	5	10	9	+1	7
5	San Bartolomé	5	9	6	+3	9
6	Las Palmas III	5	9	6	+3	8
7	Real Unión de Tenerife	5	8	3	+5	12
8	San Miguel	5	8	3	+5	10
9	Estrella	5	7	9	-2	7
10	Mensajero	5	6	4	+2	10
11	Unión Sur Yaiza	5	6	7	-1	6
12	Laguna de Duero	5	6	12	-6	1
13	Los Llanos	5	5	5	0	7
14	Lanzarote	5	5	5	0	6
15	Villa Santa Brígida	5	5	5	0	6
16	Anaza	5	5	10	-5	4
17	Villaverde Norte	5	4	12	-8	1
18	Playas Sotavento	5	3	18	-15	1