Estrella vs Los Llanos Statistics & Analysis

Estrella

Oct 10, 2026 - 10:00

1 1.34

0 1.26

xG Accuracy: 64%

Los Llanos

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Estrella Estrella ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13187106

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Estrella win · Estrella 1–0 Los Llanos

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12
Fixture: Estrella vs Los Llanos
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Estrella 1.34 — Los Llanos 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Real Unión de Tenerife	5	4	0	1	12
2	San Miguel	5	3	1	1	10
3	Panadería Pulido	5	3	1	1	10
4	UD San Fernando	4	3	0	1	9
5	Mensajero	4	3	0	1	9
6	Las Palmas III	5	2	2	1	8
7	San Bartolomé	4	2	2	0	8
8	Marino	5	2	1	2	7
9	Tenerife C	5	2	1	2	7
10	Los Llanos	5	2	1	2	7
11	Estrella	5	2	1	2	7
12	Lanzarote	4	1	3	0	6
13	Villa Santa Brígida	5	1	3	1	6
14	Unión Sur Yaiza	5	2	0	3	6
15	Anaza	5	1	1	3	4
16	Laguna de Duero	5	0	1	4	1
17	Villaverde Norte	5	0	1	4	1
18	Playas Sotavento	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Panadería Pulido	5	14	11	+3	10
2	Marino	5	13	8	+5	7
3	UD San Fernando	4	11	2	+9	9
4	Tenerife C	5	10	9	+1	7
5	Las Palmas III	5	9	6	+3	8
6	Real Unión de Tenerife	5	8	3	+5	12
7	San Miguel	5	8	3	+5	10
8	San Bartolomé	4	7	4	+3	8
9	Estrella	5	7	9	-2	7
10	Unión Sur Yaiza	5	6	7	-1	6
11	Laguna de Duero	5	6	12	-6	1
12	Lanzarote	4	5	4	+1	6
13	Los Llanos	5	5	5	0	7
14	Villa Santa Brígida	5	5	5	0	6
15	Anaza	5	5	10	-5	4
16	Mensajero	4	4	2	+2	9
17	Villaverde Norte	5	4	12	-8	1
18	Playas Sotavento	5	3	18	-15	1