Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos Statistics & Analysis

Playas Sotavento

Sep 26, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.41

2 1.19

xG Accuracy: 68%

Los Llanos

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Playas Sotavento Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 00:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10081033

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Playas Sotavento 2–2 Los Llanos

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12
Fixture: Playas Sotavento vs Los Llanos
Kickoff: 2026-09-26 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Playas Sotavento 1.41 — Los Llanos 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Las Palmas III	3	2	1	0	7
2	UD San Fernando	3	2	0	1	6
3	San Bartolomé	2	2	0	0	6
4	Real Unión de Tenerife	3	2	0	1	6
5	San Miguel	2	1	1	0	4
6	Marino	3	1	1	1	4
7	Estrella	3	1	1	1	4
8	Tenerife C	3	1	1	1	4
9	Los Llanos	3	1	1	1	4
10	Anaza	3	1	1	1	4
11	Villa Santa Brígida	3	1	1	1	4
12	Panadería Pulido	3	1	1	1	4
13	Mensajero	2	1	0	1	3
14	Unión Sur Yaiza	3	1	0	2	3
15	Lanzarote	2	0	2	0	2
16	Laguna de Duero	3	0	1	2	1
17	Villaverde Norte	3	0	1	2	1
18	Playas Sotavento	3	0	1	2	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	UD San Fernando	3	8	2	+6	6
2	Las Palmas III	3	7	3	+4	7
3	Marino	3	6	5	+1	4
4	Estrella	3	6	6	0	4
5	Tenerife C	3	6	6	0	4
6	San Bartolomé	2	5	2	+3	6
7	Panadería Pulido	3	5	6	-1	4
8	San Miguel	2	4	2	+2	4
9	Real Unión de Tenerife	3	4	3	+1	6
10	Los Llanos	3	4	4	0	4
11	Unión Sur Yaiza	3	4	5	-1	3
12	Anaza	3	3	3	0	4
13	Villa Santa Brígida	3	3	3	0	4
14	Laguna de Duero	3	3	7	-4	1
15	Lanzarote	2	2	2	0	2
16	Villaverde Norte	3	2	6	-4	1
17	Playas Sotavento	3	2	9	-7	1
18	Mensajero	2	1	1	0	3