Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12 / Real Unión de Tenerife vs Los Llanos

Real Unión de Tenerife vs Los Llanos Statistics & Analysis

Sep 12, 2026 - 10:00
1 1.43
0 1.17
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Real Unión de Tenerife Real Unión de Tenerife ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 00:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7420680

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Real Unión de Tenerife win · Real Unión de Tenerife 1–0 Los Llanos
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12
  • Fixture: Real Unión de Tenerife vs Los Llanos
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Real Unión de Tenerife 1.43 — Los Llanos 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 12 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Las Palmas III 3 2 1 0 7
2 UD San Fernando 3 2 0 1 6
3 San Bartolomé 2 2 0 0 6
4 Real Unión de Tenerife 3 2 0 1 6
5 San Miguel 2 1 1 0 4
6 Marino 3 1 1 1 4
7 Estrella 3 1 1 1 4
8 Tenerife C 3 1 1 1 4
9 Los Llanos 3 1 1 1 4
10 Anaza 3 1 1 1 4
11 Villa Santa Brígida 3 1 1 1 4
12 Panadería Pulido 3 1 1 1 4
13 Mensajero 2 1 0 1 3
14 Unión Sur Yaiza 3 1 0 2 3
15 Lanzarote 2 0 2 0 2
16 Laguna de Duero 3 0 1 2 1
17 Villaverde Norte 3 0 1 2 1
18 Playas Sotavento 3 0 1 2 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 UD San Fernando 3 8 2 +6 6
2 Las Palmas III 3 7 3 +4 7
3 Marino 3 6 5 +1 4
4 Estrella 3 6 6 0 4
5 Tenerife C 3 6 6 0 4
6 San Bartolomé 2 5 2 +3 6
7 Panadería Pulido 3 5 6 -1 4
8 San Miguel 2 4 2 +2 4
9 Real Unión de Tenerife 3 4 3 +1 6
10 Los Llanos 3 4 4 0 4
11 Unión Sur Yaiza 3 4 5 -1 3
12 Anaza 3 3 3 0 4
13 Villa Santa Brígida 3 3 3 0 4
14 Laguna de Duero 3 3 7 -4 1
15 Lanzarote 2 2 2 0 2
16 Villaverde Norte 3 2 6 -4 1
17 Playas Sotavento 3 2 9 -7 1
18 Mensajero 2 1 1 0 3