Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 / Porreres vs Santanyí

Porreres vs Santanyí Statistics & Analysis

Porreres Porreres
Oct 04, 2026 - 15:30
0 1.42
1 1.18
xG Accuracy: 64%
Santanyí Santanyí
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Porreres Santanyí ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11682362

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Santanyí win · Porreres 0–1 Santanyí
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11
  • Fixture: Porreres vs Santanyí
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): Porreres 1.42 — Santanyí 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 6 5 1 0 16
2 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15
3 Constància 6 4 1 1 13
4 Platges Calvià 6 4 0 2 12
5 PE Sant Jordi 6 3 2 1 11
6 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10
7 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 10
8 Santanyí 5 2 3 0 9
9 Alcúdia 6 3 0 3 9
10 Porreres 6 3 0 3 9
11 Formentera 5 2 2 1 8
12 Binissalem 6 2 0 4 6
13 Mercadal 6 1 2 3 5
14 Andratx 6 1 2 3 5
15 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 3
16 Arenal 6 1 0 5 3
17 Inter Ibiza 6 0 1 5 1
18 Sineu 6 0 0 6 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Manacor 5 15 5 +10 15
2 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 6 11 2 +9 16
3 Platges Calvià 6 11 5 +6 12
4 Alcúdia 6 11 11 0 9
5 Constància 6 10 3 +7 13
6 Cardassar 5 10 4 +6 10
7 PE Sant Jordi 6 10 7 +3 11
8 Llosetense 5 8 3 +5 10
9 Binissalem 6 8 11 -3 6
10 Formentera 5 7 4 +3 8
11 Porreres 6 7 7 0 9
12 Mercadal 6 6 8 -2 5
13 Andratx 6 6 9 -3 5
14 Santanyí 5 5 3 +2 9
15 Arenal 6 5 14 -9 3
16 Migjorn 5 4 12 -8 3
17 Sineu 6 3 16 -13 0
18 Inter Ibiza 6 2 15 -13 1
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 Pronostici