Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 / Manacor vs Andratx

Manacor vs Andratx Statistics & Analysis

Manacor Manacor
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.40
1 1.20
xG Accuracy: 80%
Andratx Andratx
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Manacor Manacor ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11245417

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Manacor win · Manacor 2–1 Andratx
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11
  • Fixture: Manacor vs Andratx
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Manacor 1.4 — Andratx 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15
2 Constància 5 3 1 1 10
3 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 10
4 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 4 3 1 0 10
5 Platges Calvià 5 3 0 2 9
6 Porreres 4 3 0 1 9
7 Formentera 4 2 2 0 8
8 Cardassar 4 2 1 1 7
9 PE Sant Jordi 4 2 1 1 7
10 Alcúdia 4 2 0 2 6
11 Santanyí 4 1 3 0 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 3
17 Inter Ibiza 4 0 0 4 0
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Manacor 5 15 5 +10 15
2 Constància 5 9 3 +6 10
3 Platges Calvià 5 9 5 +4 9
4 Llosetense 5 8 3 +5 10
5 Alcúdia 4 8 5 +3 6
6 Formentera 4 7 2 +5 8
7 Porreres 4 7 5 +2 9
8 PE Sant Jordi 4 7 7 0 7
9 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 4 6 2 +4 10
10 Mercadal 5 6 7 -1 5
11 Binissalem 5 5 9 -4 3
12 Arenal 5 5 11 -6 3
13 Cardassar 4 4 2 +2 7
14 Santanyí 4 4 3 +1 6
15 Andratx 5 4 6 -2 5
16 Migjorn 5 4 12 -8 3
17 Sineu 5 3 14 -11 0
18 Inter Ibiza 4 2 12 -10 0
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 11 Pronostici