Mirandés B vs Palencia CF Statistics & Analysis

Mirandés B

Sep 06, 2026 - 16:00

0 1.28

2 1.32

xG Accuracy: 58%

Palencia CF

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Palencia CF Palencia CF ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6368603

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Palencia CF win · Mirandés B 0–2 Palencia CF

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 8
Fixture: Mirandés B vs Palencia CF
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
xG (showing): Mirandés B 1.28 — Palencia CF 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 8 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Burgos Promesas	3	3	0	0	9
2	UD Santa Marta	3	3	0	0	9
3	La Virgen del Camino	4	3	0	1	9
4	Cultural Leonesa B	3	3	0	0	9
5	Atlético Mansillés	3	2	1	0	7
6	Arandina CF	4	2	1	1	7
7	Cristo Atlético	4	2	1	1	7
8	Calasanz de Soria	4	2	0	2	6
9	Almazán	3	1	2	0	5
10	Villaralbo	4	1	1	2	4
11	Bembibre	3	1	1	1	4
12	Guijuelo	3	1	0	2	3
13	Palencia CF	3	1	0	2	3
14	Unionistas II	4	0	2	2	2
15	Mirandés B	3	0	1	2	1
16	Turégano	4	0	1	3	1
17	Salamanca II	4	0	1	3	1
18	Colegios Diocesanos	3	0	0	3	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Burgos Promesas	3	7	0	+7	9
2	La Virgen del Camino	4	7	3	+4	9
3	Villaralbo	4	7	5	+2	4
4	UD Santa Marta	3	6	1	+5	9
5	Arandina CF	4	6	5	+1	7
6	Atlético Mansillés	3	5	2	+3	7
7	Almazán	3	5	4	+1	5
8	Calasanz de Soria	4	5	7	-2	6
9	Salamanca II	4	5	11	-6	1
10	Cultural Leonesa B	3	4	0	+4	9
11	Unionistas II	4	4	6	-2	2
12	Cristo Atlético	4	3	3	0	7
13	Bembibre	3	3	3	0	4
14	Guijuelo	3	3	3	0	3
15	Palencia CF	3	2	4	-2	3
16	Turégano	4	2	6	-4	1
17	Mirandés B	3	1	4	-3	1
18	Colegios Diocesanos	3	0	8	-8	0