Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 / Saguntino vs Utiel

Saguntino vs Utiel Statistics & Analysis

Saguntino Saguntino
Oct 04, 2026 - 16:00
3 1.56
2 1.04
xG Accuracy: 52%
Utiel Utiel
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Saguntino Saguntino ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11683793

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Saguntino win · Saguntino 3–2 Utiel
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6
  • Fixture: Saguntino vs Utiel
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 47.8% · Draw 28.5% · Away 23.7%
  • xG (showing): Saguntino 1.56 — Utiel 1.04 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Vall de Uxó 4 3 1 0 10
2 Villarreal C 4 3 0 1 9
3 Hércules B 5 2 2 1 8
4 Roda 5 2 2 1 8
5 Eldense B 5 2 2 1 8
6 Torrent 4 2 1 1 7
7 Levante B 4 2 1 1 7
8 Crevillente Deportivo 4 1 3 0 6
9 Acero 5 1 3 1 6
10 Ontinyent 1931 4 2 0 2 6
11 SC Torrevieja 5 2 0 3 6
12 Buñol 4 1 2 1 5
13 Jove Español 5 1 2 2 5
14 Saguntino 4 1 1 2 4
15 Soneja 5 1 1 3 4
16 Atzeneta UE 4 0 3 1 3
17 Utiel 4 0 3 1 3
18 Torrellano 5 0 1 4 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Torrent 4 8 5 +3 7
2 Hércules B 5 8 6 +2 8
3 Vall de Uxó 4 7 1 +6 10
4 Roda 5 7 5 +2 8
5 Villarreal C 4 6 3 +3 9
6 Crevillente Deportivo 4 6 5 +1 6
7 Jove Español 5 6 10 -4 5
8 Levante B 4 5 2 +3 7
9 Eldense B 5 5 3 +2 8
10 Acero 5 5 4 +1 6
11 Ontinyent 1931 4 5 4 +1 6
12 Soneja 5 5 9 -4 4
13 Saguntino 4 4 5 -1 4
14 SC Torrevieja 5 4 7 -3 6
15 Atzeneta UE 4 3 4 -1 3
16 Buñol 4 3 5 -2 5
17 Torrellano 5 3 10 -7 1
18 Utiel 4 2 4 -2 3
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 Pronostici