Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 / Utiel vs Acero

Utiel vs Acero Statistics & Analysis

Utiel Utiel
Sep 12, 2026 - 15:30
1 1.22
1 1.38
xG Accuracy: 85%
Acero Acero
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Acero Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7461525

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Utiel 1–1 Acero
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6
  • Fixture: Utiel vs Acero
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Utiel 1.22 — Acero 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Villarreal C 4 3 0 1 9
2 Eldense B 4 2 2 0 8
3 Torrent 4 2 1 1 7
4 Levante B 4 2 1 1 7
5 Vall de Uxó 3 2 1 0 7
6 Hércules B 4 2 1 1 7
7 Crevillente Deportivo 3 1 2 0 5
8 Acero 4 1 2 1 5
9 Buñol 3 1 2 0 5
10 Roda 3 1 1 1 4
11 Soneja 3 1 1 1 4
12 Saguntino 3 1 0 2 3
13 Ontinyent 1931 3 1 0 2 3
14 SC Torrevieja 3 1 0 2 3
15 Atzeneta UE 4 0 2 2 2
16 Utiel 3 0 2 1 2
17 Jove Español 4 0 2 2 2
18 Torrellano 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Torrent 4 8 5 +3 7
2 Hércules B 4 7 5 +2 7
3 Villarreal C 4 6 3 +3 9
4 Eldense B 4 5 2 +3 8
5 Levante B 4 5 2 +3 7
6 Vall de Uxó 3 4 1 +3 7
7 Crevillente Deportivo 3 4 3 +1 5
8 Acero 4 4 3 +1 5
9 Roda 3 4 4 0 4
10 Soneja 3 4 5 -1 4
11 Jove Español 4 4 9 -5 2
12 Buñol 3 3 2 +1 5
13 Saguntino 3 2 3 -1 3
14 Ontinyent 1931 3 2 4 -2 3
15 Atzeneta UE 4 2 4 -2 2
16 SC Torrevieja 3 2 5 -3 3
17 Torrellano 3 2 6 -4 0
18 Utiel 3 1 3 -2 2
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 6 Pronostici