Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 / Badalona vs Vilanova

Badalona vs Vilanova Statistics & Analysis

Badalona Badalona
Oct 11, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.38
0 1.22
xG Accuracy: 49%
Vilanova Vilanova
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Badalona Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13230956

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Badalona 0–0 Vilanova
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5
  • Fixture: Badalona vs Vilanova
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Badalona 1.38 — Vilanova 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Badalona 5 3 0 2 9
2 Montañesa 4 3 0 1 9
3 Europa II 5 2 2 1 8
4 Vilanova 4 2 2 0 8
5 Atlètic Lleida 6 2 2 2 8
6 Grama 4 2 1 1 7
7 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 7
8 L'Escala 5 2 1 2 7
9 L'Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6
10 Cornellà 4 1 3 0 6
11 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 5 2 0 3 6
12 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5
13 Martinenc 4 1 2 1 5
14 Cerdanyola del Vallès 4 1 2 1 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 4
16 San Cristóbal 4 1 1 2 4
17 Vilassar Mar 6 1 1 4 4
18 Tona 5 1 0 4 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Badalona 5 10 4 +6 9
2 Europa II 5 10 6 +4 8
3 Pobla Mafumet 5 8 7 +1 7
4 L'Escala 5 8 7 +1 7
5 Martinenc 4 8 8 0 5
6 Vilanova 4 7 5 +2 8
7 Atlètic Lleida 6 7 8 -1 8
8 Grama 4 6 3 +3 7
9 L'Hospitalet 4 6 4 +2 6
10 Cornellà 4 6 4 +2 6
11 Montañesa 4 5 1 +4 9
12 Peralada 4 5 3 +2 5
13 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 5 5 10 -5 6
14 Vilassar Mar 6 5 15 -10 4
15 Cerdanyola del Vallès 4 4 5 -1 5
16 San Cristóbal 4 4 8 -4 4
17 Tona 5 4 9 -5 3
18 Mollerussa 4 2 3 -1 4
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 Pronostici