Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 / Peralada vs Tona

Peralada vs Tona Statistics & Analysis

Peralada Peralada
Sep 13, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 64%
Tona Tona
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Peralada Tona ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7452232

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tona win · Peralada 0–1 Tona
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5
  • Fixture: Peralada vs Tona
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Peralada 1.37 — Tona 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 22, 2026 (UTC)

Ottieni Previsioni Premium per Peralada & Tona!

Sblocca analisi approfondite, consigli esclusivi sulle scommesse e previsioni delle partite con il nostro servizio di abbonamento premium.

Iscriviti Ora
Torna alle Statistiche
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Montañesa 2 2 0 0 6
2 Pobla Mafumet 3 2 0 1 6
3 Cornellà 3 1 2 0 5
4 L'Hospitalet 3 1 2 0 5
5 Martinenc 3 1 2 0 5
6 Vilanova 3 1 2 0 5
7 Grama 2 1 1 0 4
8 L'Escala 2 1 0 1 3
9 Vilassar Mar 2 1 0 1 3
10 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 3
11 Tona 3 1 0 2 3
12 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 2 1 0 1 3
13 Peralada 3 0 2 1 2
14 Europa II 3 0 2 1 2
15 San Cristóbal 2 0 1 1 1
16 Atlètic Lleida 2 0 1 1 1
17 Cerdanyola del Vallès 2 0 1 1 1
18 Badalona 2 0 0 2 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Martinenc 3 6 5 +1 5
2 Pobla Mafumet 3 5 3 +2 6
3 Cornellà 3 5 3 +2 5
4 Montañesa 2 4 0 +4 6
5 L'Hospitalet 3 4 2 +2 5
6 Vilanova 3 4 3 +1 5
7 Grama 2 3 2 +1 4
8 L'Escala 2 3 2 +1 3
9 Europa II 3 3 5 -2 2
10 Vilassar Mar 2 2 2 0 3
11 Peralada 3 2 3 -1 2
12 San Cristóbal 2 2 3 -1 1
13 Tona 3 2 4 -2 3
14 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 2 2 4 -2 3
15 Atlètic Lleida 2 2 4 -2 1
16 Mollerussa 2 1 1 0 3
17 Cerdanyola del Vallès 2 1 3 -2 1
18 Badalona 2 1 3 -2 0
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 5 Pronostici