Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 / Atlético Mineros vs Sámano

Atlético Mineros vs Sámano Statistics & Analysis

Atlético Mineros Atlético Mineros
Oct 03, 2026 - 15:30
0 1.16
4 1.44
xG Accuracy: 36%
Sámano Sámano
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Sámano Sámano ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11658762

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sámano win · Atlético Mineros 0–4 Sámano
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3
  • Fixture: Atlético Mineros vs Sámano
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away 41.9%
  • xG (showing): Atlético Mineros 1.16 — Sámano 1.44 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Bezana 5 5 0 0 15
2 Laredo 5 4 0 1 12
3 Tropezón 4 4 0 0 12
4 Vimenor 5 3 1 1 10
5 Cayón 5 3 1 1 10
6 Torina 5 2 3 0 9
7 Sámano 5 2 2 1 8
8 Revilla 5 2 2 1 8
9 Atlético Mineros 5 2 0 3 6
10 Castro 4 1 2 1 5
11 Escobedo 5 1 2 2 5
12 Guarnizo 5 1 1 3 4
13 Solares 5 1 1 3 4
14 Selaya 4 1 1 2 4
15 Velarde 5 1 1 3 4
16 Atlético Albericia 5 0 1 4 1
17 Naval Reinosa 4 0 1 3 1
18 Barquereño 5 0 1 4 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Laredo 5 12 2 +10 12
2 Sámano 5 12 6 +6 8
3 Bezana 5 11 3 +8 15
4 Revilla 5 10 6 +4 8
5 Tropezón 4 9 2 +7 12
6 Torina 5 8 2 +6 9
7 Vimenor 5 7 3 +4 10
8 Guarnizo 5 6 9 -3 4
9 Cayón 5 5 2 +3 10
10 Castro 4 4 4 0 5
11 Atlético Mineros 5 4 11 -7 6
12 Solares 5 3 6 -3 4
13 Escobedo 5 3 7 -4 5
14 Velarde 5 3 8 -5 4
15 Atlético Albericia 5 3 9 -6 1
16 Selaya 4 2 5 -3 4
17 Naval Reinosa 4 2 10 -8 1
18 Barquereño 5 2 11 -9 1
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Pronostici