Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 / Vimenor vs Sámano

Vimenor vs Sámano Statistics & Analysis

Vimenor Vimenor
Sep 13, 2026 - 16:00
2 1.27
1 1.33
xG Accuracy: 75%
Sámano Sámano
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Sámano Vimenor ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7452096

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Vimenor win · Vimenor 2–1 Sámano
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3
  • Fixture: Vimenor vs Sámano
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Vimenor 1.27 — Sámano 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Bezana 3 3 0 0 9
2 Vimenor 3 3 0 0 9
3 Tropezón 3 3 0 0 9
4 Revilla 3 2 1 0 7
5 Cayón 3 2 0 1 6
6 Castro 3 1 2 0 5
7 Torina 2 1 1 0 4
8 Velarde 3 1 1 1 4
9 Laredo 2 1 0 1 3
10 Atlético Mineros 3 1 0 2 3
11 Sámano 2 0 1 1 1
12 Barquereño 2 0 1 1 1
13 Escobedo 2 0 1 1 1
14 Selaya 2 0 1 1 1
15 Naval Reinosa 3 0 1 2 1
16 Guarnizo 2 0 0 2 0
17 Atlético Albericia 2 0 0 2 0
18 Solares 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Revilla 3 8 2 +6 7
2 Bezana 3 8 3 +5 9
3 Vimenor 3 7 2 +5 9
4 Tropezón 3 7 2 +5 9
5 Torina 2 4 1 +3 4
6 Castro 3 4 2 +2 5
7 Cayón 3 3 1 +2 6
8 Laredo 2 3 2 +1 3
9 Sámano 2 3 4 -1 1
10 Barquereño 2 2 3 -1 1
11 Velarde 3 2 4 -2 4
12 Naval Reinosa 3 2 6 -4 1
13 Atlético Mineros 3 2 7 -5 3
14 Guarnizo 2 1 3 -2 0
15 Escobedo 2 1 4 -3 1
16 Atlético Albericia 2 1 4 -3 0
17 Solares 3 1 6 -5 0
18 Selaya 2 0 3 -3 1
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Pronostici