Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 / Torina vs Escobedo

Torina vs Escobedo Statistics & Analysis

Torina Torina
Sep 05, 2026 - 16:30
1 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 85%
Escobedo Escobedo
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Torina Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6368400

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Torina 1–1 Escobedo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3
  • Fixture: Torina vs Escobedo
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Torina 1.3 — Escobedo 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Bezana 2 2 0 0 6
2 Tropezón 2 2 0 0 6
3 Revilla 1 1 0 0 3
4 Laredo 2 1 0 1 3
5 Atlético Mineros 1 1 0 0 3
6 Vimenor 1 1 0 0 3
7 Cayón 2 1 0 1 3
8 Sámano 1 0 1 0 1
9 Barquereño 1 0 1 0 1
10 Torina 1 0 1 0 1
11 Castro 1 0 1 0 1
12 Naval Reinosa 1 0 1 0 1
13 Velarde 1 0 1 0 1
14 Escobedo 2 0 1 1 1
15 Selaya 2 0 1 1 1
16 Guarnizo 2 0 0 2 0
17 Solares 1 0 0 1 0
18 Atlético Albericia 2 0 0 2 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bezana 2 5 1 +4 6
2 Tropezón 2 5 1 +4 6
3 Laredo 2 3 2 +1 3
4 Revilla 1 2 0 +2 3
5 Atlético Mineros 1 2 1 +1 3
6 Sámano 1 2 2 0 1
7 Barquereño 1 2 2 0 1
8 Vimenor 1 1 0 +1 3
9 Cayón 2 1 1 0 3
10 Torina 1 1 1 0 1
11 Guarnizo 2 1 3 -2 0
12 Escobedo 2 1 4 -3 1
13 Atlético Albericia 2 1 4 -3 0
14 Castro 1 0 0 0 1
15 Naval Reinosa 1 0 0 0 1
16 Velarde 1 0 0 0 1
17 Solares 1 0 2 -2 0
18 Selaya 2 0 3 -3 1
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Pronostici