Langreo vs Praviano Statistics & Analysis

Sep 27, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.35
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Langreo Langreo ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10100841

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Langreo win · Langreo 3–2 Praviano
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2
  • Fixture: Langreo vs Praviano
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Langreo 1.35 — Praviano 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Covadonga 4 3 1 0 10
2 Mosconia 4 3 1 0 10
3 Sporting Gijón II 3 3 0 0 9
4 Siero 4 3 0 1 9
5 Colunga 4 3 0 1 9
6 Caudal Deportivo 4 3 0 1 9
7 Condal 3 2 1 0 7
8 Langreo 3 1 1 1 4
9 Gijón Industrial 3 1 1 1 4
10 Praviano 3 1 0 2 3
11 Lealtad 3 1 0 2 3
12 Ceares 4 1 0 3 3
13 L'Entregu 4 1 0 3 3
14 Avilés Stadium 3 1 0 2 3
15 Andes 4 0 1 3 1
16 Llanes 3 0 1 2 1
17 San Martín 3 0 1 2 1
18 Astur 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Covadonga 4 12 3 +9 10
2 Colunga 4 9 7 +2 9
3 Mosconia 4 8 1 +7 10
4 Caudal Deportivo 4 7 5 +2 9
5 Sporting Gijón II 3 6 2 +4 9
6 Langreo 3 6 5 +1 4
7 Ceares 4 6 9 -3 3
8 Condal 3 5 0 +5 7
9 Siero 4 5 1 +4 9
10 Gijón Industrial 3 4 4 0 4
11 Llanes 3 4 10 -6 1
12 Praviano 3 3 4 -1 3
13 Lealtad 3 2 3 -1 3
14 L'Entregu 4 2 6 -4 3
15 Andes 4 2 6 -4 1
16 Avilés Stadium 3 1 5 -4 3
17 Astur 3 1 6 -5 0
18 San Martín 3 1 7 -6 1
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Pronostici