Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 / Colunga vs Covadonga

Colunga vs Covadonga Statistics & Analysis

Colunga Colunga
Sep 26, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.01
2 1.59
xG Accuracy: 89%
Covadonga Covadonga
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Covadonga Covadonga ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10112490

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Covadonga win · Colunga 1–2 Covadonga
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2
  • Fixture: Colunga vs Covadonga
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 22.5% · Draw 28.2% · Away 49.3%
  • xG (showing): Colunga 1.01 — Covadonga 1.59 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.2% · No 47.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.2% · No 47.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.9%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Mosconia 2 2 0 0 6
2 Condal 2 2 0 0 6
3 Caudal Deportivo 2 2 0 0 6
4 Sporting Gijón II 2 2 0 0 6
5 Colunga 2 2 0 0 6
6 Covadonga 2 1 1 0 4
7 Siero 2 1 0 1 3
8 Praviano 2 1 0 1 3
9 Ceares 2 1 0 1 3
10 Lealtad 2 1 0 1 3
11 Gijón Industrial 2 1 0 1 3
12 L'Entregu 2 1 0 1 3
13 Langreo 2 0 1 1 1
14 Andes 2 0 0 2 0
15 Astur 2 0 0 2 0
16 Avilés Stadium 2 0 0 2 0
17 Llanes 2 0 0 2 0
18 San Martín 2 0 0 2 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Mosconia 2 7 1 +6 6
2 Covadonga 2 6 2 +4 4
3 Condal 2 5 0 +5 6
4 Caudal Deportivo 2 5 1 +4 6
5 Sporting Gijón II 2 5 2 +3 6
6 Colunga 2 4 2 +2 6
7 Praviano 2 3 3 0 3
8 Ceares 2 3 3 0 3
9 Langreo 2 3 4 -1 1
10 Siero 2 2 1 +1 3
11 Lealtad 2 2 2 0 3
12 Gijón Industrial 2 2 2 0 3
13 Llanes 2 2 8 -6 0
14 L'Entregu 2 1 1 0 3
15 Andes 2 1 4 -3 0
16 Astur 2 1 5 -4 0
17 Avilés Stadium 2 0 5 -5 0
18 San Martín 2 0 6 -6 0
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Pronostici