Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 / Andes vs Colunga

Andes vs Colunga Statistics & Analysis

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Andes
Sep 06, 2026 - 15:30
1 1.43
2 1.17
xG Accuracy: 71%
Colunga Colunga
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Andes Colunga ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6365680

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Colunga win · Andes 1–2 Colunga
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2
  • Fixture: Andes vs Colunga
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Andes 1.43 — Colunga 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 18, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Mosconia 1 1 0 0 3
2 Covadonga 1 1 0 0 3
3 Caudal 1 1 0 0 3
4 Gijón Industrial 1 1 0 0 3
5 Sporting Gijón II 1 1 0 0 3
6 Ceares 1 1 0 0 3
7 Colunga 1 1 0 0 3
8 Condal 1 1 0 0 3
9 Praviano 2 1 0 1 3
10 Lealtad 2 1 0 1 3
11 Langreo 1 0 0 1 0
12 Andes 1 0 0 1 0
13 L'Entregu 1 0 0 1 0
14 Siero 1 0 0 1 0
15 San Martín 1 0 0 1 0
16 Astur 1 0 0 1 0
17 Llanes 1 0 0 1 0
18 Avilés Stadium 1 0 0 1 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Mosconia 1 5 1 +4 3
2 Covadonga 1 4 0 +4 3
3 Caudal 1 3 0 +3 3
4 Praviano 2 3 3 0 3
5 Gijón Industrial 1 2 0 +2 3
6 Sporting Gijón II 1 2 1 +1 3
7 Ceares 1 2 1 +1 3
8 Colunga 1 2 1 +1 3
9 Lealtad 2 2 2 0 3
10 Condal 1 1 0 +1 3
11 Langreo 1 1 2 -1 0
12 Andes 1 1 2 -1 0
13 Llanes 1 1 5 -4 0
14 L'Entregu 1 0 1 -1 0
15 Siero 1 0 1 -1 0
16 San Martín 1 0 2 -2 0
17 Astur 1 0 3 -3 0
18 Avilés Stadium 1 0 4 -4 0
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Pronostici