Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1 / Estradense vs Coruña

Estradense vs Coruña Statistics & Analysis

Estradense Estradense
Sep 20, 2026 - 17:00
3 1.36
1 1.24
xG Accuracy: 60%
Coruña Coruña
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Estradense Estradense ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8690169

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Estradense win · Estradense 3–1 Coruña
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1
  • Fixture: Estradense vs Coruña
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Estradense 1.36 — Coruña 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Boiro 3 3 0 0 9
2 Sarriana 4 3 0 1 9
3 Alondras 4 3 0 1 9
4 Villalbés 3 2 1 0 7
5 Antela 4 2 1 1 7
6 Barco 3 2 0 1 6
7 Lalin 3 2 0 1 6
8 Atlético Arteixo 4 1 2 1 5
9 Pontevedra B 3 1 1 1 4
10 Estradense 3 1 1 1 4
11 Portonovo SD 3 1 1 1 4
12 Celta de Vigo III 4 1 1 2 4
13 Silva SD 3 1 1 1 4
14 Arenteiro 3 1 0 2 3
15 Somozas 4 0 2 2 2
16 Céltiga 3 0 1 2 1
17 Coruña 3 0 0 3 0
18 Viveiro 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Alondras 4 10 8 +2 9
2 Sarriana 4 8 5 +3 9
3 Pontevedra B 3 8 5 +3 4
4 Boiro 3 7 2 +5 9
5 Villalbés 3 6 4 +2 7
6 Estradense 3 5 5 0 4
7 Celta de Vigo III 4 5 6 -1 4
8 Coruña 3 5 9 -4 0
9 Barco 3 4 3 +1 6
10 Atlético Arteixo 4 4 5 -1 5
11 Lalin 3 3 2 +1 6
12 Portonovo SD 3 3 3 0 4
13 Silva SD 3 3 4 -1 4
14 Céltiga 3 3 6 -3 1
15 Antela 4 2 2 0 7
16 Arenteiro 3 2 3 -1 3
17 Somozas 4 1 3 -2 2
18 Viveiro 3 0 4 -4 0