Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1 / Barco vs Silva SD

Barco vs Silva SD Statistics & Analysis

Barco Barco
Sep 12, 2026 - 17:30
1 1.26
2 1.34
xG Accuracy: 78%
Silva SD Silva SD
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Silva SD Silva SD ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7451724

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Silva SD win · Barco 1–2 Silva SD
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1
  • Fixture: Barco vs Silva SD
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Barco 1.26 — Silva SD 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1 Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Boiro 3 3 0 0 9
2 Villalbés 3 2 1 0 7
3 Sarriana 3 2 0 1 6
4 Barco 3 2 0 1 6
5 Lalin 3 2 0 1 6
6 Alondras 3 2 0 1 6
7 Atlético Arteixo 3 1 2 0 5
8 Pontevedra B 3 1 1 1 4
9 Estradense 3 1 1 1 4
10 Portonovo SD 3 1 1 1 4
11 Celta de Vigo III 3 1 1 1 4
12 Silva SD 3 1 1 1 4
13 Antela 3 1 1 1 4
14 Arenteiro 3 1 0 2 3
15 Somozas 3 0 2 1 2
16 Céltiga 3 0 1 2 1
17 Coruña 3 0 0 3 0
18 Viveiro 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Pontevedra B 3 8 5 +3 4
2 Boiro 3 7 2 +5 9
3 Villalbés 3 6 4 +2 7
4 Alondras 3 6 6 0 6
5 Sarriana 3 5 3 +2 6
6 Estradense 3 5 5 0 4
7 Coruña 3 5 9 -4 0
8 Barco 3 4 3 +1 6
9 Lalin 3 3 2 +1 6
10 Portonovo SD 3 3 3 0 4
11 Celta de Vigo III 3 3 3 0 4
12 Silva SD 3 3 4 -1 4
13 Céltiga 3 3 6 -3 1
14 Atlético Arteixo 3 2 1 +1 5
15 Arenteiro 3 2 3 -1 3
16 Antela 3 1 2 -1 4
17 Somozas 3 1 2 -1 2
18 Viveiro 3 0 4 -4 0
Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1 Spagna. Tercera División RFEF - Gruppo 1 Pronostici