JyPK vs Honka W Statistics & Analysis

JyPK

Sep 11, 2026 - 15:30

0 1.09

3 1.51

xG Accuracy: 49%

Honka W

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Honka W Honka W ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7029251

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Honka W win · JyPK 0–3 Honka W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Kansallinen Liiga
Fixture: JyPK vs Honka W
Kickoff: 2026-09-11 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 25.8% · Draw 28.9% · Away 45.3%
xG (showing): JyPK 1.09 — Honka W 1.51 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Kansallinen Liiga — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	HJK	14	13	0	1	39
2	Åland United	14	9	1	4	28
3	KuPS Donne	14	9	1	4	28
4	HPS W	14	7	3	4	24
5	Ilves	14	7	1	6	22
6	IF Gnistan	14	4	1	9	13
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	14	2	1	11	7
8	VIFK W	14	0	2	12	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Åland United	14	41	19	+22	28
2	HJK	14	38	9	+29	39
3	KuPS Donne	14	31	21	+10	28
4	Ilves	14	27	26	+1	22
5	IF Gnistan	14	21	32	-11	13
6	HPS W	14	19	15	+4	24
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	14	13	36	-23	7
8	VIFK W	14	8	40	-32	2