HJK vs IF Gnistan Statistics & Analysis

HJK

Sep 19, 2026 - 15:00

6 1.58

1 1.02

xG Accuracy: 30%

⚽

IF Gnistan

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 HJK HJK ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 6-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8699464

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result HJK win · HJK 6–1 IF Gnistan

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Kansallinen Liiga
Fixture: HJK vs IF Gnistan
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 48.8% · Draw 28.3% · Away 22.9%
xG (showing): HJK 1.58 — IF Gnistan 1.02 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.3% · No 47.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 52.3% · No 47.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.0%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Kansallinen Liiga — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	HJK	14	13	0	1	39
2	Åland United	14	9	1	4	28
3	KuPS Donne	14	9	1	4	28
4	HPS W	14	7	3	4	24
5	Ilves	14	7	1	6	22
6	IF Gnistan	14	4	1	9	13
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	14	2	1	11	7
8	VIFK W	14	0	2	12	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Åland United	14	41	19	+22	28
2	HJK	14	38	9	+29	39
3	KuPS Donne	14	31	21	+10	28
4	Ilves	14	27	26	+1	22
5	IF Gnistan	14	21	32	-11	13
6	HPS W	14	19	15	+4	24
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	14	13	36	-23	7
8	VIFK W	14	8	40	-32	2